2025 Final Numbers Are In

Contra Costa has 3,124 restaurants competing for $3.22 billion.
Where do you rank?

The market grew 5.5% last year. If your revenue didn't keep pace, aggressive competitors captured your customers while you stood still.

2025 Market Tide +5.5% Beat this or lose rank
Contra Costa Restaurant Market Share Race
2024 Market
$3.05B
Audited baseline
2025 Market
$3.22B
+5.5% growth
County Median*
$729K
Typical location, all types
1
Get Ranked — Select Your City & Category
Local Median Benchmark —
Full-Service Restaurants
typical annual sales*
locations in your market
2
Enter Your 2025 Sales Goal (or Actual)
$
Type a number — e.g. 850000, 1.2M, 950K — then hit Enter or tap the button
🔒 Estimate only. No upload required. No financial data stored. Your rank is calculated from county revenue totals, category counts, and modeled distribution curves — useful for benchmarking, not a literal audited leaderboard.
3
Your Market Position
Percentile
county-wide (est.)
Est. County Rank
of — county-wide
Est. City Rank
of — in city
#1 (Top) Your position #—

The Initiator Opportunity

70% of your competitors are passive — they drift with the market and do zero active marketing. One restaurant that initiates change captures rank from six standing-still businesses. A 10-spot leap is mathematically achievable in 12 months. See what it's worth below.

Your 10-Spot Leap
Moving from to captures:
in among
+$0
That's the estimated revenue held by the restaurant 10 positions above you —
customers who are actively choosing someone else right now.

How Spotlight Delivers This

Every week, your restaurant reaches thousands of Contra Costa locals who are actively choosing where to eat. Fresh copy, your voice, your promotions — calibrated each week to move the needle. Restaurants stay with us for 20 years because it works. Starting at $79/week. Full year at ~$62/week with a walk-away option at 26 weeks.

About This Tool

This ranking tool was built with one goal: give Contra Costa restaurant and food service owners an honest, useful snapshot of where they stand in a $3.22 billion market.

Getting the math right mattered. The methodology was built on log-normal distribution modeling calibrated to verified county revenue totals and city-weighted benchmarks — the same approach used in professional market research. As a process check, the model was independently reviewed for internal consistency by three AI systems:

ChatGPT (OpenAI)
Claude (Anthropic)
Gemini (Google)

All three confirmed the distribution model, median benchmarking approach, and city-weight calibration were internally consistent. Rankings are estimates based on modeled distribution curves — useful for benchmarking, not a literal audited leaderboard.

Built by Frank MacCallister at ContraCostaLive.com — serving Contra Costa businesses since 2001.